Mother Jones magazine has this really cool interactive tool that allows you to predict who will win, lose or draw each of the upcoming republican presidential primaries. They call it the GOP Primary Predictor: Play Along at Home. You can prognosticate on what percentage of the votes each of the candidates will get in all of the upcoming 55 primaries. Yes, I did say fifty-five.
Here is a list of the primaries along with my less than scientific commentary.
Jan. 3 Iowa - Santorum or Romney they don't really know yet
Jan. 10 New Hampshire - Romney wins big
Jan. 21 South Carolina - the last real chance to derail the Mitt
Jan. 31 Florida - 50/50 chance for Romney to wrap it up
Feb. 4 Nevada
Feb. 7 Colorado
Feb. 7 Minnesota
Feb. 11 Maine
Feb. 25 Mariana Islands
Feb. 28 Arizona - it's over, Romney wins both; everyone else quits
Feb. 28 Michigan - it's over, Romney wins both; everyone else quits
None of the remaining 44 primaries matter as far as the presidential nominations go
Mar. 3 Washington
Mar. 6 Alabama
Mar. 6 Georgia - March 6th: eleven states in one day with no meaning
Mar. 6 Idaho
Mar. 6 Massachusetts
Mar. 6 North Dakota
Mar. 6 Ohio
Mar. 6 Oklahoma
Mar. 6 Tennessee
Mar. 6 Vermont
Mar. 6 Virginia
Mar. 6 Virgin Islands
Mar. 10 Kansas
Mar. 10 Wyoming
Mar. 12 Guam
Mar. 13 Hawaii
Mar. 13 Mississippi
Mar. 13 American Samoa
Mar. 17 Missouri
Mar. 20 Illinois
Mar. 24 Louisiana
Mar. 24 Puerto Rico
Apr. 3 Washington
Apr. 3 Maryland
Apr. 3 Wisconsin
Apr. 6 Alaska
Apr. 6 Texas - Rick Perry who?
Apr. 24 Connecticut
Apr. 24 Delaware
Apr. 24 New York - sorry it was Romney two months ago
Apr. 24 Pennsylvania
Apr. 24 Rhode Island
May 8 Indiana
May 8 North Carolina
May 8 West Virginia
May 15 Nebraska
May 15 Oregon
May 22 Arkansas
May 22 Kentucky
June 5 California - largest single electoral state votes 3 months too late
June 5 Montana
June 5 New Jersey
June 5 New Mexico
June 5 South Dakota
June 26 Utah
Jan. 21 South Carolina - the last real chance to derail the Mitt
Jan. 31 Florida - 50/50 chance for Romney to wrap it up
Feb. 4 Nevada
Feb. 7 Colorado
Feb. 7 Minnesota
Feb. 11 Maine
Feb. 25 Mariana Islands
Feb. 28 Arizona - it's over, Romney wins both; everyone else quits
Feb. 28 Michigan - it's over, Romney wins both; everyone else quits
None of the remaining 44 primaries matter as far as the presidential nominations go
Mar. 3 Washington
Mar. 6 Alabama
Mar. 6 Georgia - March 6th: eleven states in one day with no meaning
Mar. 6 Idaho
Mar. 6 Massachusetts
Mar. 6 North Dakota
Mar. 6 Ohio
Mar. 6 Oklahoma
Mar. 6 Tennessee
Mar. 6 Vermont
Mar. 6 Virginia
Mar. 6 Virgin Islands
Mar. 10 Kansas
Mar. 10 Wyoming
Mar. 12 Guam
Mar. 13 Hawaii
Mar. 13 Mississippi
Mar. 13 American Samoa
Mar. 17 Missouri
Mar. 20 Illinois
Mar. 24 Louisiana
Mar. 24 Puerto Rico
Apr. 3 Washington
Apr. 3 Maryland
Apr. 3 Wisconsin
Apr. 6 Alaska
Apr. 6 Texas - Rick Perry who?
Apr. 24 Connecticut
Apr. 24 Delaware
Apr. 24 New York - sorry it was Romney two months ago
Apr. 24 Pennsylvania
Apr. 24 Rhode Island
May 8 Indiana
May 8 North Carolina
May 8 West Virginia
May 15 Nebraska
May 15 Oregon
May 22 Arkansas
May 22 Kentucky
June 5 California - largest single electoral state votes 3 months too late
June 5 Montana
June 5 New Jersey
June 5 New Mexico
June 5 South Dakota
June 26 Utah
Now I would be happy to be wrong about this, if only for the entertainment value a longer race would give to The Daily Show and Colbert Report. But my overall 2012 position remains the same - whether you are choosing the lesser of two evils or seven, you still get evil.
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